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Bioplastics to 2016

As Quoted In Packaging Strategies 


 





Study #: 2908
Document Type: Industry Study
Date Published: Jun-2012
Format:
   Full study: PDF
   Section, Pages, Tables and Charts: HTML
Pages: 240
Price: $4,900.00
       

    

Technical innovations that improve bioplastics and lower their price -- along with increased production capacity -- will make bioplastics more cost-competitive with conventional polymers.

US demand to rise 20% annually through 2016

US demand for bioplastics is forecast to climb at a 20 percent annual pace through 2016 to 550 million pounds, valued at $680 million. Although they have achieved a considerable degree of commercial success, bioplastics remain in an early stage of development, representing only a small niche within the overall plastics industry. Going forward, technical innovations that enhance the properties of bioplastics and lower their price will drive growth. Increased production capacity will boost the availability and further reduce the price of bioplastics, thus making these materials more cost-competitive with conventional polymers.

In addition, many bio-based polymers benefit from relative price stability when compared with their petroleum-based counterparts. Moreover, the desire to decrease dependence on foreign oil will further fuel the expansion of bio-based resins, as will efforts by US manufacturers to enhance sustainability and improve the corporate image they project to an increasingly eco-conscious consumer base.

PLA to remain most extensively used bioplastic

Polylactic acid (PLA) is expected to remain the most extensively used resin in the bioplastics market through the forecast period, despite issues regarding the inability of biodegradable products such as PLA to decompose in landfills and their potential to contaminate the recycling stream. Advances will be promoted by a widening composting network and greater processor familiarity, as well as ongoing efforts to diversify PLA feedstocks, as critics cite the food versus fuel debate and the energy- and pesticide-intensive nature of corn production as a key drawback of biopolymers. Furthermore, PLA is being blended with other resins and additives to create new grades that offer improved product performance, allowing for use in an extended range of applications, including durable and semi-durable goods.

Bio-based polyethylene -- which entered the market in 2010 -- is expected to offer the best opportunities for growth through 2016, increasing rapidly from a small base. These exceptionally strong gains are predicated on the expansion of production capacity, which will reduce prices and enable this resin to compete more effectively with its petroleum-based counterpart. Although bio-based polyethylene will continue to command a price premium that will restrict demand in price-sensitive non-consumer markets through 2016, the fact that bio-based polyethylene is chemically identical to, and can serve as a drop-in replacement for, conventional polyethylene will remain a key factor driving its adoption.

Study Scope

This study analyzes the 220 million pound US bioplastic industry. It presents historical demand data for the years 2001, 2006 and 2011, with forecasts for 2016 and 2021 by resin (e.g., polylactic acid, starch-based plastics, cellulose films, bio-based polyethylene, bio-based polyamides, degradable polyesters), product (e.g., film, molded goods) and market (e.g., packaging, nonpackaging).

The study also considers market environment factors, details industry structure, evaluates company market share and profiles 44 industry players, including NatureWorks, Innovia Films and Arkema.

 










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