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Study #: 2933

Published: 12/2012

Pages: 379

Full Study Price: US$ 6,100

Per Page Price: US$ 35.00 (text) | 60.00 (table)

World Buses to 2016 - Industry Market Research, Market Share, Market Size, Sales, Demand Forecast, Market Leaders, Company Profiles, Industry Trends

The world market for buses will grow 5.0 percent annually to 632,000 units in 2016. Type C school buses will lead gains, due largely to rapidly expanding use in China. Transit bus demand will rise at the next fastest rate. The Asia/Pacific region will offer the best growth opportunities, with China and India alone accounting for three-fifths of all new bus demand.

This study analyzes the 495,000 unit global bus market. It presents historical demand data for the years 2001, 2006 and 2011, and forecasts for 2016 and 2021 by product (e.g., motor coaches, transit buses), fuel type, world region and for 25 countries.

The study also considers market environment factors, details industry structure, evaluates company market share and profiles 42 industry participants, including Daimler, Zhengzhou Yutong Bus, and Xiamen King Long Motor.

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				    TABLE OF CONTENTS

     SECTION									    PAGE

		INTRODUCTION							      xi

	I.	EXECUTIVE SUMMARY						       1

	II.	MARKET ENVIRONMENT						       4
		General								       4
		World Economic Overview						       5
		   Recent Historical Trends					       5
		   World Economic Outlook					       7
		Personal Income Trends						      11
		World Demographic Overview					      13
		   Population							      14
		   Urban Population						      15
		World Light Vehicle Overview					      17
		   Light Vehicle Production					      18
		   Light Vehicle Sales						      20
		Energy Prices							      22
		Technology Trends						      26
		Legal & Regulatory Environment					      28
		Pricing Trends							      32

	III.	WORLD SUPPLY & DEMAND						      35
		General								      35
		Regional Overview						      36
		   Demand							      37
		   Park								      42
		   Production							      44
		   International Trade						      47
		Demand by Product						      48
		   Motor Coaches						      51
		   Transit Buses						      53
		   Other Buses							      56
		Demand by Fuel Type						      60
		Bus Rapid Transit Systems					      63

	IV.	NORTH AMERICA							      66
		General								      66
		Bus Supply & Demand						      67
		Bus Market Outlook						      70
		United States							      72
		Canada								      78
		Mexico								      83

	V.	WESTERN EUROPE							      89
		General								      89
		Bus Supply & Demand						      90
		Bus Market Outlook						      93
		France								      95
		Germany								     100
		United Kingdom							     105
		Spain								     110
		Italy								     115
		Other Western Europe						     120
		   Sweden							     126
		   Belgium							     127
		   All Other							     128

	VI.	ASIA/PACIFIC							     130
		General								     130
		Bus Supply & Demand						     131
		Bus Market Outlook						     134
		China								     136
		India								     143
		Indonesia							     148
		Japan								     153
		Thailand							     159
		South Korea							     164
		Other Asia/Pacific						     170
		   Australia							     176
		   Taiwan							     178
		   All Other							     179

	VII.	OTHER REGIONS							     180
		Central & South America						     180
		   Bus Supply & Demand						     181
		   Bus Market Outlook						     183
		   Brazil							     185
		   Other Central & South America				     191
		Eastern Europe							     196
		   Bus Supply & Demand						     198
		   Bus Market Outlook						     200
		   Russia							     202
		   Other Eastern Europe						     208
		      Poland							     214
		      Czech Republic						     215
		      All Other							     216
		Africa/Mideast							     217
		   Bus Supply & Demand						     219
		   Bus Market Outlook						     221
		   Turkey							     224
		   Iran								     229
		   Nigeria							     234
		   Other Africa/Mideast						     240

	VIII.	INDUSTRY STRUCTURE						     248
		General								     248
		Industry Composition						     249
		Market Share							     251
		Research & Product Development					     255
		Manufacturing							     257
		Marketing & Distribution					     259
		Cooperative Agreements						     261
		Financial Issues & Requirements					     269
		Mergers & Acquisitions						     269
		Company Profiles						     272
		   Advanced Public Transport Systems, see VDL Groep
		   Alexander Dennis Limited					     273
		   Allied Specialty Vehicles Incorporated			     276
		   Anhui Ankai Automobile Company Limited			     277
		   Ashok Leyland Limited					     279
		   Berkshire Hathaway Incorporated				     281
		   Blue Bird Corporation					     283
		   Champion Bus, see Thor Industries
		   Collins Bus, see Allied Specialty Vehicles
		   Consorcio G Grupo Dina SA de CV				     285
		   Daewoo Bus Corporation					     286
		   Daimler AG							     288
		   Detroit Diesel, see Daimler
		   Dina Camiones, see Consorcio G Grupo Dina
		   Dongfeng Motor Corporation Company Limited			     294
		   Eicher Motors Limited					     295
		   ElDorado National California, see Thor Industries
		   Elkhart Coach, see Berkshire Hathaway
		   EvoBus, see Daimler
		   Federal Coach Bus, see Berkshire Hathaway
		   Fiat Industrial SpA						     296
		   Fiat SpA							     298
		   Forest River, see Berkshire Hathaway
		   GAZ OAO							     299
		   General Motors Company					     300
		   Gillig LLC							     302
		   Glaval Bus, see Berkshire Hathaway
		   Goshen Coach, see Thor Industries
		   Haci Ömer Sabanci Holding A S				     303
		   Hino Motors, see Toyota Motor
		   Hyundai Motor Company					     305
		   IC Bus, see Navistar International
		   Irizar S Cooperativa						     307
		   IRIZAR-TVS, see Ashok Leyland and Irizar S Cooperativa
		   Iveco Irisbus, see Fiat Industrial
		   Liaoning SG Automotive Group Company Limited			     309
		   Mahindra Navistar Engines Private, see Navistar International
		   MAN SE							     310
		   Marcopolo SA							     313
		   Micro Bird, see Blue Bird
		   Minsky Avtomobilny Zavod JSC					     316
		   Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus, see Daimler
		   Motor Coach Industries Incorporated				     317
		   Navistar International Corporation				     318
		   NEOPLAN Bus, see MAN
		   New Flyer Industries Incorporated				     322
		   North American Bus Industries Incorporated			     324
		   Nova Bus, see Volvo
		   Optare, see Ashok Leyland
		   Polomex, see Daimler and Marcopolo
		   Prevost Car, see Volvo
		   Proterra Incorporated					     326
		   Scania AB							     328
		   Solaris Bus & Coach SA					     331
		   Starcraft Bus, see Berkshire Hathaway
		   Superpolo, see Marcopolo
		   Tata Marcopolo Motors, see Marcopolo and Tata Motors
		   Tata Motors Limited						     333
		   Temsa Sanayi ve Ticaret, see Haci Ömer Sabanci Holding A S
		   Thomas Built Buses, see Daimler
		   Thor Industries Incorporated					     335
		   Toyota Motor Corporation					     337
		   UD Trucks, see Volvo
		   Van Hool NV							     341
		   VDL Groep BV							     342
		   VE Commercial Vehicles, see Volvo
		   Volgren Australia, see Marcopolo
		   Volvo AB							     345
		   Workhorse Custom Chassis, see Navistar International
		   Wright Group Limited						     349
		   Xiamen King Long Motor Company Limited			     350
		   Yangzhou Yaxing Motor Coach Company Limited			     352
		   Zhengzhou Yutong Bus Company Limited				     353
		   Zhongtong Bus Holding Company Limited			     355
		   Zonda Group							     356
		Other Companies Mentioned in Study				     357


				      LIST OF TABLES

    TABLE NUMBER								    PAGE


		SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
		Summary Table							       3

		SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
	1	World Gross Domestic Product by Region				      11
	2	World Per Capita GDP						      13
	3	World Population by Region & Age				      15
	4	World Urban Population by Region				      17
	5	World Light Vehicle Production by Region			      20
	6	World Light Vehicle Sales by Region				      22

		SECTION III -- WORLD SUPPLY & DEMAND
	1	World Bus Demand by Region					      39
	2	World Buses in Use by Region					      43
	3	World Bus Production by Region					      46
	4	World Bus Net Exports						      48
	5	World Bus Demand by Product					      50
	6	World Motor Coach Demand by Region				      53
	7	World Transit Bus Demand by Region				      56
	8	World Demand for Other Buses by Product & Region		      59
	9	World Bus Demand by Fuel Type					      62

		SECTION IV -- NORTH AMERICA
	1	North America:  Bus Supply & Demand				      69
	2	North America:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product
		   & Fuel Type							      72
	3	United States:  Bus Supply & Demand				      76
	4	United States:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product		      78
	5	Canada:  Bus Supply & Demand					      81
	6	Canada:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product			      83
	7	Mexico:  Bus Supply & Demand					      86
	8	Mexico:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product			      88

		SECTION V -- WESTERN EUROPE
	1	Western Europe:  Bus Supply & Demand				      92
	2	Western Europe:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product
		   & Fuel Type							      95
	3	France:  Bus Supply & Demand					      98
	4	France:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product			     100
	5	Germany:  Bus Supply & Demand					     103
	6	Germany:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product			     105
	7	United Kingdom:  Bus Supply & Demand				     108
	8	United Kingdom:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product		     110
	9	Spain:  Bus Supply & Demand					     113
	10	Spain:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product			     115
	11	Italy:  Bus Supply & Demand					     118
	12	Italy:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product			     120
	13	Other Western Europe:  Bus Supply & Demand			     123
	14	Other Western Europe:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand
		   by Product							     125
	15	Other Western Europe:  Bus Supply & Demand by Country		     126

		SECTION VI -- ASIA/PACIFIC
	1	Asia/Pacific:  Bus Supply & Demand				     133
	2	Asia/Pacific:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product
		   & Fuel Type							     136
	3	China:  Bus Supply & Demand					     141
	4	China:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product			     143
	5	India:  Bus Supply & Demand					     146
	6	India:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product			     148
	7	Indonesia:  Bus Supply & Demand					     151
	8	Indonesia:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product		     153
	9	Japan:  Bus Supply & Demand					     157
	10	Japan:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product			     159
	11	Thailand:  Bus Supply & Demand					     162
	12	Thailand:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product			     164
	13	South Korea:  Bus Supply & Demand				     168
	14	South Korea: Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product		     169
	15	Other Asia/Pacific:  Bus Supply & Demand			     173
	16	Other Asia/Pacific:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product	     175
	17	Other Asia/Pacific:  Bus Supply & Demand by Country		     176

		SECTION VII -- OTHER REGIONS
	1	Central & South America:  Bus Supply & Demand			     183
	2	Central & South America:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand
		   by Product & Fuel Type					     185
	3	Brazil:  Bus Supply & Demand					     189
	4	Brazil:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product			     191
	5	Other Central & South America:  Bus Supply & Demand		     194
	6	Other Central & South America:  Buses in Use & Bus
		   Demand by Product						     196
	7	Eastern Europe:  Bus Supply & Demand				     199
	8	Eastern Europe:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product
		   & Fuel Type							     202
	9	Russia:  Bus Supply & Demand					     206
	10	Russia:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product			     208
	11	Other Eastern Europe:  Bus Supply & Demand			     211
	12	Other Eastern Europe:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand
		   by Product							     213
	13	Other Eastern Europe:  Bus Supply & Bus Demand
		   by Country							     214
	14	Africa/Mideast:  Bus Supply & Demand				     220
	15	Africa/Mideast:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product
		   & Fuel Type							     223
	16	Turkey:  Bus Supply & Demand					     227
	17	Turkey:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product			     229
	18	Iran:  Bus Supply & Demand					     232
	19	Iran:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product			     234
	20	Nigeria:  Bus Supply & Demand					     238
	21	Nigeria:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand by Product			     240
	22	Other Africa/Mideast:  Bus Supply & Demand			     245
	23	Other Africa/Mideast:  Buses in Use & Bus Demand
		   by Product							     247

		SECTION VIII -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
	1	Bus Sales for Selected Manufacturers, 2011			     250
	2	Selected Cooperative Agreements					     264
	3	Selected Acquisitions & Divestitures				     271


			      LIST OF CHARTS

    CHART NUMBER								    PAGE


		SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
	1	Average Annual Spot Prices for Crude Oil, 2001-2011		      24
	2	Average Annual Spot Prices for Natural Gas, 2001-2011		      25
	3	World Average Bus Prices, 2001-2021				      34

		SECTION III -- WORLD SUPPLY & DEMAND
	1	World Bus Demand by Region, 2011				      40
	2	Change in Bus Demand Between 2011 & 2016 by Region		      40
	3	World Bus Demand:  Projected 2011-2016 Annual Rate
		   of Growth							      41
	4	World Buses in Use by Region, 2011				      44
	5	World Bus Production by Region, 2011				      46
	6	World Bus Demand by Product, 2011				      50
	7	Change in Bus Demand by Product, 2006 to 2011
		   & 2011 to 2016						      51
	8	World Bus Demand by Fuel Type, 2011				      63
	9	World Bus Rapid Transit Systems by Region, 2012			      65

		SECTION IV -- NORTH AMERICA
	1	North America:  Bus Demand by Country, 2011			      70

		SECTION V -- WESTERN EUROPE
	1	Western Europe:  Bus Demand by Country, 2011			      93

		SECTION VI -- ASIA/PACIFIC
	1	Asia/Pacific:  Bus Demand by Country, 2011			     134

		SECTION VII -- OTHER REGIONS
	1	Eastern Europe:  Bus Demand by Country, 2011			     200
	2	Africa/Mideast:  Bus Demand by Country, 2011			     221

		SECTION VIII -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
	1	World Bus Market Share, 2011					     252


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