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Study #: 2108 Published: 10/2006 Pages: 321 Full Study Price: US$ 5,500 Per Page Price: US$ 30.00 World Hybrid-Electric Vehicles to 2010 - Market Research, Market Share, Market Size, Sales, Demand Forecast, Market Leaders, Company Profiles, Industry Trends Global demand for hybrid-electric vehicles (HEVs) will grow twenty percent annually through 2010. Gains for these fuel-efficient vehicles will be driven by erratic fuel prices, increased emissions regulations and lowering HEV cost disparities. The US, Western Europe and Japan will remain the top markets, with China catching up fast. This study analyzes the $2.8 billion world hybrid-electric vehicle industry. It presents historical demand data for 2000 and 2005 and forecasts to 2010, 2015 and 2020 by HEV type (full hybrid, mild hybrid); by segment (passenger car, light truck); by world geographical region (e.g., North America, Western Europe, Asia/Pacific); and for 12 leading national markets. The study also considers market enviroment factors, reviews HEV and competitive powerplant technologies, evaluates producer market share and profiles 36 major industry players including Toyota, Honda, DaimlerChrysler, Ford, General Motors, Nissan, and Peugeot.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
SECTION PAGE
INTRODUCTION xi
I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1
II. MARKET ENVIRONMENT 4
General 4
World Economic Overview 5
World Population Overview 10
Personal Income & Expenditure Trends 13
Households 14
World Light Vehicle Overview 16
Light Vehicle Production 18
Light Vehicle Sales 22
Automotive Components Industry Trends 23
Environmental & Regulatory Factors 27
Pricing Trends 31
III. TECHNOLOGY 33
General 33
Transition to Fuel Cells 34
Well-to-Wheels Efficiency & Pollution Comparisons 35
Hybrid-Electric ICE Powerplants 37
Series Hybrid 37
Parallel Hybrid 38
Mild Hybrid 39
Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles 40
Advantages of the Hybrid-Electric ICE Powertrain 42
Hybrid-Electric ICE Commercialization Issues 43
Heat Management 44
Power Control Systems 44
Battery Life 45
Internal Combustion Engines 46
Spark Ignition Internal Combustion Engines 46
Diesel Internal Combustion Engines 48
Fuel Cells 50
Energy Storage Technologies 52
IV. COMPETITIVE & MARKET ASSESSMENTS 56
General 56
Competitive Assessment 62
Technology Readiness 65
S-Curve Headroom 66
Internal Combustion Engines 67
Hybrid-Electric ICEs 68
Fuel Cells 68
Electric Vehicles 69
Regulatory Compliance 70
Emissions Compliance 71
Fuel Efficiency Compliance 71
Safety Compliance 71
Infrastructure Readiness 72
Fueling Infrastructure 72
Service Infrastructure 73
Consumer Price/Benefits 74
Industry Focus 79
Technology Penetration Profiles 80
Market Pull 83
Regulatory Push 84
Rapid Penetration 84
Niche 85
Market Assessment 85
Automatic Transmissions 87
Power Steering 88
Air Conditioning 89
Antilock Brake Systems 90
Penetration Summary 91
Penetration Analysis for HEVs 92
V. WORLD OVERVIEW 95
General 95
Supply & Demand Trends 96
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Demand by Region 98
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply by Region 100
Hybrid-Electric Components Demand by Region 102
Foreign Trade 104
VI. NORTH AMERICA 106
North America: General 106
North America: Light HEV Demand by Segment & Type 108
North America: Light HEV Supply by Country 112
North America: Light HEV Component Demand 114
United States 117
Canada 122
Mexico 126
VII. WESTERN EUROPE 131
Western Europe: General 131
Western Europe: Light HEV Demand by Segment & Type 134
Western Europe: Light HEV Supply by Country 137
Western Europe: Light HEV Component Demand 140
Germany 142
France 147
United Kingdom 151
Italy 155
Sweden 159
Other Western Europe 163
VIII. ASIA/PACIFIC 166
Asia/Pacific: General 166
Asia/Pacific: Light HEV Demand by Segment & Type 169
Asia/Pacific: Light HEV Supply by Country 172
Asia/Pacific: Light HEV Component Demand 174
Japan 177
China 182
South Korea 187
Australia 191
Other Asia/Pacific 194
IX. OTHER REGIONS 198
Other Regions: General 198
Other Regions: Light HEV Demand by Segment & Type 200
Other Regions: Light HEV Supply by Region 202
Other Regions: Light HEV Component Demand 204
Latin America 205
Eastern Europe 210
Africa/Mideast 215
X. INDUSTRY STRUCTURE 219
General 219
Industry Composition & Market Share 220
Mergers, Acquisitions & Industry Restructuring 222
Research & Product Development 224
Manufacturing 229
Marketing 230
Distribution 231
Financial Issues & Requirements 233
Strategic Partnerships 234
OEM & Supplier Strategic Powertrain Options 242
Company Profiles 248
AC Propulsion Incorporated 249
ADVICS Company Limited, see Aisin Seiki
Company Limited
AeroVironment Incorporated 250
Aisin Seiki Company Limited 251
Bayerische Motoren Werke AG 252
Bosch (Robert) GmbH 255
Cobasys LLC, see Energy Conversion Devices Incorporated
Continental AG 257
DaimlerChrysler AG 260
Delphi Corporation 264
DENSO Corporation 266
Eaton Corporation 268
EnerDel Incorporated, see Delphi Corporation
Energy Conversion Devices Incorporated 270
Exide Technologies 273
Ford Motor Company 274
Freescale Semiconductor Incorporated 277
Fuji Electric Holdings Company Limited 279
General Motors Corporation 280
Global Hybrid Cooperation, see Bayerische Motoren
Werke AG, DaimlerChrysler AG and General Motors
Corporation
GS Yuasa Corporation 283
Hitachi Limited 284
Honda Motor Company Limited 286
Hyundai Motor Company 288
JATCO Limited 290
Johnson Controls Incorporated 291
Johnson Controls-Saft Advanced Power
Solutions LLC, see Johnson Controls Incorporated
and Saft Groupe SA
Keihin Corporation 294
Matsushita Electric Industrial Company Limited 295
NEC Corporation 297
Nissan Motor Company Limited 298
Ovonic Battery Company Incorporated, see
Energy Conversion Devices Incorporated
Panasonic EV Energy Company Limited, see Matsushita
Electric Industrial Company Limited and
Toyota Motor Corporation
Peugeot SA 300
Saft Groupe SA 302
SANYO Electric Company Limited 304
Siemens AG 306
Texaco Ovonic Battery Systems LLC, see
Energy Conversion Devices Incorporated
Toshiba Corporation 308
Toyota Motor Corporation 309
Valeo SA 315
Visteon Corporation 317
Volkswagen AG 318
ZF Friedrichshafen AG 320
LIST OF TABLES
TABLE NUMBER PAGE
SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Summary Table 3
SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
1 World Gross Domestic Product by Region 10
2 World Population by Region 13
3 World per Capita GDP by Region 14
4 World Households by Region 16
5 World Light Vehicle Production 21
6 World Light Vehicle Sales 23
SECTION V -- WORLD OVERVIEW
1 World Light Hybrid-electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 98
2 World Light Hybrid-electric Vehicle Demand by Region 100
3 World Light Hybrid-electric Vehicle Supply by Region 102
4 World Hybrid-electric Components Demand by Region 104
SECTION VI -- NORTH AMERICA
1 North America Macroeconomic Indicators & Light
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 108
2 North America Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Demand
by Segment & Type 110
3 North America Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Production
by Country 114
4 North America Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Component
Demand 117
5 United States Macroeconomic Indicators & Light
Hybrid-electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 122
6 Canada Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric
Vehicle Supply & Demand 126
7 Mexico Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric
Vehicle Supply & Demand 130
SECTION VII -- WESTERN EUROPE
1 Western Europe Macroeconomic Indicators & Light
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 133
2 Western Europe Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle
Demand by Segment & Type 136
3 Western Europe Light Hybrid-electric Vehicle Supply
by Country 140
4 Western Europe Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle
Component Demand 142
5 Germany Macroeconomic Indicators & Light
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 147
6 France Macroeconomic Indicators & Light
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 151
7 United Kingdom Macroeconomic Indicators & Light
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 155
8 Italy Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric
Vehicle Supply & Demand 159
9 Sweden Macroeconomic Indicators & Light
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 162
10 Other Western Europe Macroeconomic Indicators & Light
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 165
SECTION VIII -- ASIA/PACIFIC
1 Asia/Pacific Macroeconomic Indicators & Light
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 169
2 Asia/Pacific Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Demand by
Segment & Type 171
3 Asia/Pacific Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply by
Country 174
4 Asia/Pacific Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Component
Demand 177
5 Japan Macroeconomic Indicators & Light
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 182
6 China Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric
Vehicle Supply & Demand 187
7 South Korea Macroeconomic Indicators & Light
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 191
8 Australia Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric
Vehicle Supply & Demand 194
9 Other Asia/Pacific Macroeconomic Indicators & Light
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 197
SECTION IX -- OTHER REGIONS
1 Other Regions Macroeconomic Indicators & Light
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 200
2 Other Regions Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Demand by
Segment & Type 202
3 Other Regions Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply
by Region 203
4 Other Regions Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle
Component Demand 205
5 Latin America Macroeconomic Indicators & Light
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 210
6 Eastern Europe Macroeconomic Indicators & Light
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 214
7 Africa/Mideast Macroeconomic Indicators & Light
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 218
SECTION X -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
1 Selected Cooperative Agreements 236
LIST OF CHARTS
CHART NUMBER PAGE
SECTION III -- TECHNOLOGY
1 Conceptual Technology Migration Profile: ICE to Fuel Cell 35
2 Comparison of Hybrid-electric Powertrain Types 42
SECTION IV -- COMPETITIVE & MARKET ASSESSMENTS
1 Options for Improving Light Vehicle Fuel Efficiency 57
2 Honda Civic Hybrid Breakeven Versus Civic ICE Model
US Market Example, 2004 & 2006 Data 58
3 Retail Fuel Prices, Selected Countries, 2005 59
4 Probable HEV Market Penetration Profile 61
5 Alternative Powerplant Forces at Work 63
6 Light Vehicle Powerplant Technology Assessment 65
7 Price/Benefits Analysis -- 2006-2007 Model Years 77
8 Price/Benefits Analysis on HEV Segments-- 2006-2007
Model Years 79
9 Categorizing Technology Penetration Curves -- US Market
Example 82
10 Framework for Assessing Automotive Technology
Penetration 83
11 Automatic Transmission Penetration at Retail Price
Analysis -- US Passenger Car Example 87
12 Power Steering Penetration at Retail Price Analysis -- US
Passenger Car Example 88
13 Air Conditioning Penetration at Retail Price Analysis -- US
Passenger Car Example 89
14 Antilock Brake System Penetration at Retail Price
Analysis -- US Passenger Car Example 90
15 Summary of Technology Penetration Profiles -- US Example 92
16 Estimated Full Hybrid-electric Vehicle Option Pricing
Trend -- Worldwide Example 94
SECTION VI -- NORTH AMERICA
1 Historical & Potential Light HEV Introductions, North
America Through 2010 111
SECTION VII -- WESTERN EUROPE
1 Historical & Potential Light HEV Introductions, Western
Europe Through 2010 137
SECTION VIII -- ASIA/PACIFIC
1 Historical & Potential Light HEV Introductions,
Asia/Pacific Through 2010 172
SECTION X -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
1 World Hybrid-electric Vehicle Market Share, 2005 222
2 Trigger Technology Definition -- Antilock Brake
System Example 226
3 Hybrid Vehicle Technologies with Multiple Possible
Applications 228
4 OEM Strategic Powerplant Options 244
5 Supplier Strategic Powerplant Supply Options 247
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