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Study #: 2791

Published: 09/2011

Pages: 406

Full Study Price: US$ 6,100

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World Motorcycles to 2015 - Market Research, Market Share, Market Size, Sales, Demand Forecast, Market Leaders, Company Profiles, Industry Trends

World demand for motorcycles will grow 7.0 percent annually through 2015. Motorcycles powered by internal combustion engines (ICEs) will grow slower than electric powered motorcycles (e-cycles). The North American market will see the strongest growth as the US begins to regain lost ICE motorcycle volume and sees additional e-cycle growth.

This study analyzes the 88 million unit world motorcycle industry. It presents historical demand data for the years 2000, 2005 and 2010, and forecasts for 2015 and 2020 by product (e.g., scooters, mopeds and motorbikes; light motorcycles; medium/heavy motorcycles), world region and for 22 major countries.

The study also considers market environment factors, details industry structure, evaluates company market share and profiles 36 industry players, including Honda, Yamaha and Harley-Davidson.

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				    TABLE OF CONTENTS

     SECTION									    PAGE

		INTRODUCTION							       x

	I.	EXECUTIVE SUMMARY						       1

	II.	MARKET ENVIRONMENT						       4
		General								       4
		World Economic Overview						       5
		   Recent Historical Trends					       5
		   World Economic Outlook					       7
		World Demographic Overview					      11
		   Population							      12
		   Urban Population						      13
		   World Personal Income Trends					      15
		World Light Vehicle Overview					      16
		   Light Vehicle Production					      17
		   Light Vehicle Demand						      19
		Legal & Regulatory Issues					      21
		   Restrictions on Motorcycle Use				      22
		   Rider Safety							      23
		   Exhaust Emissions						      25
		Pricing Patterns						      27
		Technological Trends						      29
		   ICE Motorcycle Innovations					      30
		   Electric Cycle Innovations					      31

	III.	OVERVIEW							      32
		General								      32
		Two Market Models:  Developed Versus Emerging			      33
		   Historical Context:  Japan in the 1950s			      34
		   Forecast Model Inputs					      37
		      Income Distribution					      38
		      Age & Demographics					      39
		      Climate							      41
		      Safety							      41
		      Other Factors						      42
		   Model Fit & Implementation					      43
		Regional Overview						      45
		   Motorcycle Demand by Unit					      46
		   Motorcycle Demand by Value					      49
		   Motorcycles in Use						      51
		   Motorcycle Production					      54
		International Trade						      56
		Demand by Type							      57
		   Internal Combustion Engine Motorcycles			      60
		      Scooters, Mopeds & Motorbikes				      64
		      Light Motorcycles						      65
		      Medium/Heavy Motorcycles					      65
		   Electric Motorcycles						      67

	IV.	NORTH AMERICA							      70
		General								      70
		   Motorcycle Supply & Demand					      71
		   Motorcycle Outlook & Suppliers				      73
		United States							      76
		Canada								      82
		Mexico								      88

	V.	WESTERN EUROPE							      94
		General								      94
		   Motorcycle Supply & Demand					      95
		   Motorcycle Outlook & Suppliers				      98
		Italy								     101
		France								     107
		Germany								     113
		Spain								     119
		United Kingdom							     125
		Other Western Europe						     131

	VI.	ASIA/PACIFIC							     138
		General								     138
		   Motorcycle Supply & Demand					     140
		   Motorcycle Outlook & Suppliers				     142
		China								     145
		India								     154
		Indonesia							     161
		Vietnam								     167
		Thailand							     174
		Pakistan							     180
		Japan								     185
		Philippines							     193
		Taiwan								     198
		Malaysia							     205
		South Korea							     212
		Other Asia/Pacific						     217

	VII.	OTHER REGIONS							     224
		Central & South America						     224
		   Motorcycle Supply & Demand					     225
		   Motorcycle Outlook & Suppliers				     228
		   Brazil							     230
		   Argentina							     236
		   Other Central & South America				     242
		Eastern Europe							     248
		   Motorcycle Supply & Demand					     250
		   Motorcycle Outlook & Suppliers				     252
		Africa/Mideast							     254
		   Motorcycle Supply & Demand					     256
		   Motorcycle Outlook & Suppliers				     258
		   Nigeria							     260
		   Other Africa/Mideast						     267

	VIII.	INDUSTRY STRUCTURE						     274
		General								     274
		Industry Composition						     275
		Market Share							     277
		Competitive Strategies						     280
		Industry Globalization Trends					     282
		Research & New Product Development				     283
		Manufacturing							     285
		Marketing & Distribution					     287
		Cooperative Agreements						     289
		Mergers & Acquisitions						     295
		Company Profiles						     296
		   Bajaj Auto Limited						     297
		   Bayerische Motoren Werke AG					     300
		   Benelli, see Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle
		   Big Dog Motorcycles LLC					     302
		   China Jialing Industrial Company Limited			     303
		   Chongqing Jianshe Motorcycle Company Limited			     305
		   Chongqing Lifan Industry Group Company Limited		     307
		   Chongqing Loncin Industry Group Company Limited		     308
		   Dachangjiang Group Company Limited				     309
		   Daelim Industrial Company Limited				     311
		   Dafra da Amazonia Industria e Comercio de Motocicletas Limitada   312
		   Ducati Motor Holding SpA					     313
		   Eicher Motors Limited					     314
		   Giant Manufacturing Company Limited				     316
		   Guangzhou Motors Group Company Limited			     317
		   Guangzhou Tianma Group Tianma Motorcycle Company Limited	     319
		   Haojue Suzuki Motorcycle Changzhou, see 
		      Dachangjiang Group and Suzuki Motor
		   Harley-Davidson Incorporated					     320
		   HICOM-Yamaha Manufacturing Malaysia, see Hong 
		      Leong Industries and Yamaha Motor
		   Honda Motor Company Limited					     324
		   Hong Leong Industries Berhad					     330
		   Hong Leong Yamaha Motor, see Hong Leong Industries 
		      and Yamaha Motor
		   Husqvarna Motorcycles, see Bayerische Motoren Werke
		   Indian Motorcycle, see Polaris Industries
		   Jinan Qingqi Motorcycle Company Limited			     332
		   Jincheng Corporation						     333
		   Kawai Motor Industry Guangzhou, see Luoyang 
		      Northern Enterprises Group
		   Kawasaki Heavy Industries Limited				     336
		   KTM Power Sports AG						     340
		   Kwang Yang Motor Company Limited				     342
		   Luoyang Northern Enterprises Group Company Limited		     344
		   MV Agusta Motor SpA						     346
		   Nanjing Jincheng Motorcycle, see Jincheng and Suzuki Motor
		   Peugeot SA							     347
		   Piaggio & Company SpA					     349
		   Polaris Industries Incorporated				     353
		   S&T Motors Company Limited					     355
		   Sanyang Industry Company Limited				     357
		   Suzuki Motor Corporation					     359
		   Suzuki Motorcycle R&D, see Dachangjiang Group and Suzuki Motor
		   Triumph Motorcycles Limited					     364
		   TVS Motor Company Limited					     365
		   Yamaha Motor Company Limited					     367
		   Yamaha Motor Vietnam, see Hong Leong Industries and 
		      Yamaha Motor
		   Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle Company Limited		     375
		   Zongshen Industrial Group Company Limited			     377
		Other Companies Mentioned in Study				     380


				      LIST OF TABLES

    TABLE NUMBER								    PAGE


		SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
		Summary Table							       3

		SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
	1	World Gross Domestic Product by Region				      11
	2	World Population by Region					      13
	3	World Urban Population by Region				      14
	4	World Per Capita GDP by Region					      16
	5	World Light Vehicle Production by Region			      19
	6	World Light Vehicle Demand by Region				      21
	7	Weighted-Average Motorcycle Pricing by Region			      29

		SECTION III -- OVERVIEW
	1	World Motorcycle Unit Demand by Region				      48
	2	World Motorcycle Revenue by Region				      50
	3	World Motorcycles in Use by Region				      53
	4	World Motorcycle Production by Region				      55
	5	World Motorcycle Net Exports by Region				      57
	6	World Motorcycle Demand by Engine Type				      60
	7	World Internal Combustion Engine Motorcycle Demand 
		   by Type & Region						      63
	8	World Electric Motorcycle Demand by Type & Region		      69

		SECTION IV -- NORTH AMERICA
	1	North America:  Motorcycle Supply & Demand			      72
	2	North America:  Motorcycle Demand by Type			      75
	3	United States:  Motorcycle Supply & Demand			      79
	4	United States:  Motorcycle Demand by Type			      82
	5	Canada:  Motorcycle Supply & Demand				      85
	6	Canada:  Motorcycle Demand by Type				      88
	7	Mexico:  Motorcycle Supply & Demand				      91
	8	Mexico:  Motorcycle Demand by Type				      93

		SECTION V -- WESTERN EUROPE
	1	Western Europe: Motorcycle Supply & Demand			      97
	2	Western Europe: Motorcycle Demand by Type			     101
	3	Italy: Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     104
	4	Italy: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     107
	5	France: Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     110
	6	France: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     113
	7	Germany: Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     116
	8	Germany: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     119
	9	Spain: Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     122
	10	Spain: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     125
	11	United Kingdom: Motorcycle Supply & Demand			     128
	12	United Kingdom: Motorcycle Demand by Type			     131
	13	Other Western Europe: Motorcycle Supply & Demand		     134
	14	Other Western Europe: Motorcycle Demand by Type			     137

		SECTION VI -- ASIA/PACIFIC
	1	Asia/Pacific: Motorcycle Supply & Demand			     141
	2	Asia/Pacific: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     145
	3	China: Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     150
	4	China: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     154
	5	India:  Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     157
	6	India: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     161
	7	Indonesia: Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     164
	8	Indonesia: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     167
	9	Vietnam: Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     171
	10	Vietnam: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     174
	11	Thailand: Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     177
	12	Thailand: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     180
	13	Pakistan: Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     183
	14	Pakistan: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     185
	15	Japan: Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     189
	16	Japan: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     192
	17	Philippines: Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     195
	18	Philippines: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     198
	19	Taiwan: Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     202
	20	Taiwan: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     205
	21	Malaysia: Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     208
	22	Malaysia: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     211
	23	South Korea: Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     214
	24	South Korea: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     217
	25	Other Asia/Pacific: Motorcycle Supply & Demand			     220
	26	Other Asia/Pacific: Motorcycle Demand by Type			     223

		SECTION VII -- OTHER REGIONS
	1	Central & South America: Motorcycle Supply & Demand		     227
	2	Central & South America: Motorcycle Demand by Type		     230
	3	Brazil: Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     233
	4	Brazil: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     236
	5	Argentina: Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     239
	6	Argentina: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     242
	7	Other Central & South America: Motorcycle 
		   Supply & Demand						     245
	8	Other Central & South America: Motorcycle 
		   Demand by Type						     248
	9	Eastern Europe: Motorcycle Supply & Demand			     251
	10	Eastern Europe: Motorcycle Demand by Type			     254
	11	Africa/Mideast: Motorcycle Supply & Demand			     257
	12	Africa/Mideast: Motorcycle Demand by Type			     260
	13	Nigeria: Motorcycle Supply & Demand				     263
	14	Nigeria: Motorcycle Demand by Type				     266
	15	Other Africa/Mideast: Motorcycle Supply & Demand		     270
	16	Other Africa/Mideast: Motorcycle Demand by Type			     273

		SECTION VIII -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
	1	Motorcycle Sales by Company, 2010				     276
	2	Selected Cooperative Agreements					     290


				      LIST OF CHARTS

    CHART NUMBER								    PAGE

		SECTION III -- OVERVIEW
	1	Motorcycle Versus Passenger Car Sales Trends in Japan, 
		   1950 to 2000							      35
	2	Ratio of Motorcycle to Passenger Car Sales in Japan, 
		   1950 to 2000							      36
	3	Relationship of Per Capita GDP to Relative Motorcycle Sales 
			Dominance in Japan, 1950 to 1970			      37
	4	Gini Coefficient Assessment of Income Distribution		      39
	5	Median Age of Populations in Selected Countries, 2010		      40
	6	Comparison of Per Capita GDP & Motorcycle 
		   Sales Dominance						      44
	7	Typical Motorcycle Market Transition Points 
		   for Selected Countries, 2010					      45
	8	World Motorcycle Demand by Country, 2010			      51

		SECTION VIII -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
	1	World Motorcycle Market Share, 2010				     277
	2	World Motorcycle Industry Breakdown by Units, 
		   Revenues & Profits, 2010					     283
	3	World Motorcycle Industry Minimum 
		   Efficient Scale Analysis, 2010				     286



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