World Buses

As Quoted In METRO Magazine

Global gains will be based on skyrocketing demand for Type C school buses, driven largely by market advances in China, where there are safety concerns about current student transport.

World demand to rise 5% annually through 2016

The world market for buses is projected to grow 5.0 percent annually to 632,000 units in 2016, approaching $64 billion in sales. Much of the gains will be attributable to Type C school buses, demand for which will skyrocket from 26,000 units in 2011 to 70,000 units in 2016. This increase will largely be driven by market advances in China, where sales of Type C buses will expand rapidly from a small existing base because of safety concerns about other types of buses currently used to transport students. Growth in demand for motor coaches, transit buses, and all other buses will, in the aggregate, be much more moderate.

Transit bus sales will rise at the next fastest rate behind Type C school buses, spurred by efforts to reduce traffic congestion and improve air quality as urban populations continue to grow; volatile fuel costs, making bus transportation more attractive to commuters; and the ongoing development of public transportation infrastructures, including bus rapid transit systems, in a number of developing countries. The market for motor coaches, which account for the largest portion of global bus demand, will increase at a somewhat slower pace, fueled by rising per capita incomes and vacation travel spending. Sales of all other buses, which include shuttles and other smaller vehicles based on a medium-duty chassis, will register the slowest gains, supported by a pickup in tourism and travel spending.

Asia/Pacific region to offer best growth opportunities

The Asia/Pacific region will register the fastest market advances through 2016, fueled by robust economic growth and the expansion of urban transit systems, particularly in China and India. China alone will account for three-fifths of all new bus demand between 2011 and 2016. The Africa/Mideast region will post the second fastest gains, supported by further development of public transportation infrastructures, most notably in Nigeria, where bus sales will rise 13 percent annually through 2016 from a relatively small current base.

The US will also record above average increases, as bus demand rebounds following a dramatic drop in sales from 2006 to 2011. Product demand in Western Europe and Japan will also recover from recent lows, although the expected rates of growth will not be nearly as strong as in the US. Bus sales in these areas will be stimulated by generally healthy economic conditions and higher tax revenues, providing government agencies with the revenues needed to replace older vehicles and expand current fleets.

In Central and South America, on the other hand, demand for buses is expected to decline modestly between 2011 and 2016. This will be due to a drop in bus sales in Brazil from an unusually high level in 2011, when vehicle prebuys in advance of new emissions standards caused demand to surge.

Study Scope

This study analyzes the 495,000 unit global bus market. It presents historical demand data for the years 2001, 2006 and 2011, and forecasts for 2016 and 2021 by product (e.g., motor coaches, transit buses), fuel type, world region and for 25 countries.

The study also considers market environment factors, details industry structure, evaluates company market share and profiles 42 industry participants, including Daimler, Zhengzhou Yutong Bus, and Xiamen King Long Motor.

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  1. World Buses

    $6,100.00

    1. 1 INTRODUCTION

      $252.00

    2. 2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

      $147.00

      1. Table | WORLD BUS DEMAND (thousand units)

    3. 3 MARKET ENVIRONMENT

      $1,475.00

      1. 3.1 General

        $82.00

      2. 3.2 World Economic Overview

        $319.00

        1. 3.2.1 Recent Historical Trends

          $93.00

        2. 3.2.2 World Economic Outlook

          $211.00

          1. Table | WORLD GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT BY REGION (billion 2010 dollars)

      3. 3.3 Personal Income Trends

        $96.00

        1. Table | WORLD PER CAPITA GDP (2010 dollars)

      4. 3.4 World Demographic Overview

        $161.00

        1. 3.4.1 Population

          $82.00

          1. Table | WORLD POPULATION BY REGION & AGE (million persons)

        2. 3.4.2 Urban Population

          $82.00

          1. Table | WORLD URBAN POPULATION BY REGION (million persons)

      5. 3.5 World Light Vehicle Overview

        $254.00

        1. 3.5.1 Light Vehicle Production

          $127.00

          1. Table | WORLD LIGHT VEHICLE PRODUCTION BY REGION (thousand units)

        2. 3.5.2 Light Vehicle Sales

          $113.00

          1. Table | WORLD LIGHT VEHICLE SALES BY REGION (thousand units)

      6. 3.6 Energy Prices

        $130.00

      7. 3.7 Technology Trends

        $167.00

      8. 3.8 Legal & Regulatory Environment

        $181.00

      9. 3.9 Pricing Trends

        $106.00

    4. 4 WORLD SUPPLY & DEMAND

      $1,269.00

      1. 4.1 General

        $82.00

      2. 4.2 Regional Overview

        $480.00

        1. 4.2.1 Demand

          $151.00

          1. Table | WORLD BUS DEMAND BY REGION (thousand units)

        2. 4.2.2 Park

          $99.00

          1. Table | WORLD BUSES IN USE BY REGION (thousand units)

        3. 4.2.3 Production

          $100.00

          1. Table | WORLD BUS PRODUCTION BY REGION (thousand units)

        4. 4.2.4 International Trade

          $82.00

          1. Table | WORLD BUS NET EXPORTS (units)

      3. 4.3 Demand by Product

        $459.00

        1. Table | WORLD BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (thousand units)

        2. 4.3.1 Motor Coaches

          $89.00

          1. Table | WORLD MOTOR COACH DEMAND BY REGION (thousand units)

        3. 4.3.2 Transit Buses

          $134.00

          1. Table | WORLD TRANSIT BUS DEMAND BY REGION (thousand units)

        4. 4.3.3 Other Buses

          $126.00

          1. Table | WORLD DEMAND FOR OTHER BUSES BY PRODUCT & REGION (thousand units)

      4. 4.4 Demand by Fuel Type

        $166.00

        1. Table | WORLD BUS DEMAND BY FUEL TYPE (thousand units)

      5. 4.5 Bus Rapid Transit Systems

        $117.00

    5. 5 NORTH AMERICA

      $993.00

      1. 5.1 North America: General

        $82.00

      2. 5.2 North America: Bus Supply & Demand

        $100.00

        1. Table | NORTH AMERICA: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

      3. 5.3 North America: Bus Market Outlook

        $100.00

        1. Table | NORTH AMERICA: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT & FUEL TYPE (units)

      4. 5.4 United States

        $265.00

        1. Table | UNITED STATES: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. Table | UNITED STATES: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

      5. 5.5 Canada

        $244.00

        1. Table | CANADA: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. Table | CANADA: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

      6. 5.6 Mexico

        $217.00

        1. Table | MEXICO: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. Table | MEXICO: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

    6. 6 WESTERN EUROPE

      $1,747.00

      1. 6.1 Western Europe: General

        $82.00

      2. 6.2 Western Europe: Bus Supply & Demand

        $89.00

        1. Table | WESTERN EUROPE: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

      3. 6.3 Western Europe: Bus Market Outlook

        $98.00

        1. Table | WESTERN EUROPE: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT & FUEL TYPE (units)

      4. 6.4 France

        $204.00

        1. Table | FRANCE: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. Table | FRANCE: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

      5. 6.5 Germany

        $226.00

        1. Table | GERMANY: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. Table | GERMANY: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

      6. 6.6 United Kingdom

        $230.00

        1. Table | UNITED KINGDOM: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. Table | UNITED KINGDOM: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

      7. 6.7 Spain

        $202.00

        1. Table | SPAIN: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. Table | SPAIN: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

      8. 6.8 Italy

        $216.00

        1. Table | ITALY: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. Table | ITALY: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

      9. 6.9 Other Western Europe

        $400.00

        1. Table | OTHER WESTERN EUROPE: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. Table | OTHER WESTERN EUROPE: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

        3. Table | OTHER WESTERN EUROPE: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND BY COUNTRY (units)

    7. 7 ASIA/PACIFIC

      $2,306.00

      1. 7.1 Asia/Pacific: General

        $84.00

      2. 7.2 Asia/Pacific: Bus Supply & Demand

        $109.00

        1. Table | ASIA/PACIFIC: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

      3. 7.3 Asia/Pacific: Bus Market Outlook

        $106.00

        1. Table | ASIA/PACIFIC: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT & FUEL TYPE (units)

      4. 7.4 China

        $334.00

        1. Table | CHINA: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. Table | CHINA: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

      5. 7.5 India

        $236.00

        1. Table | INDIA: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. Table | INDIA: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

      6. 7.6 Indonesia

        $245.00

        1. Table | INDONESIA: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. Table | INDONESIA: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

      7. 7.7 Japan

        $258.00

        1. Table | JAPAN: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. Table | JAPAN: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

      8. 7.8 Thailand

        $249.00

        1. Table | THAILAND: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. Table | THAILAND: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

      9. 7.9 South Korea

        $226.00

        1. Table | SOUTH KOREA: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. Table | SOUTH KOREA: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

      10. 7.10 Other Asia/Pacific

        $458.00

        1. Table | OTHER ASIA/PACIFIC: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. Table | OTHER ASIA/PACIFIC: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

        3. Table | OTHER ASIA/PACIFIC: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND BY COUNTRY (units)

    8. 8 OTHER REGIONS

      $2,975.00

      1. 8.1 Central & South America

        $762.00

        1. 8.1.1 Central & South America: Bus Supply & Demand

          $90.00

          1. Table | CENTRAL & SOUTH AMERICA: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. 8.1.2 Central & South America: Bus Market Outlook

          $96.00

          1. Table | CENTRAL & SOUTH AMERICA: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT & FUEL TYPE (units)

        3. 8.1.3 Brazil

          $271.00

          1. Table | BRAZIL: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

          2. Table | BRAZIL: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

        4. 8.1.4 Other Central & South America

          $233.00

          1. Table | OTHER CENTRAL & SOUTH AMERICA: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

          2. Table | OTHER CENTRAL & SOUTH AMERICA: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

      2. 8.2 Eastern Europe

        $946.00

        1. 8.2.1 Eastern Europe: Bus Supply & Demand

          $89.00

          1. Table | EASTERN EUROPE: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. 8.2.2 Eastern Europe: Bus Market Outlook

          $103.00

          1. Table | EASTERN EUROPE: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT & FUEL TYPE (units)

        3. 8.2.3 Russia

          $238.00

          1. Table | RUSSIA: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

          2. Table | RUSSIA: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

        4. 8.2.4 Other Eastern Europe

          $444.00

          1. Table | OTHER EASTERN EUROPE: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

          2. Table | OTHER EASTERN EUROPE: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

          3. Table | OTHER EASTERN EUROPE: BUS SUPPLY & BUS DEMAND BY COUNTRY (units)

      3. 8.3 Africa/Mideast

        $1,266.00

        1. 8.3.1 Africa/Mideast: Bus Supply & Demand

          $99.00

          1. Table | AFRICA/MIDEAST: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

        2. 8.3.2 Africa/Mideast: Bus Market Outlook

          $124.00

          1. Table | AFRICA/MIDEAST: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT & FUEL TYPE (units)

        3. 8.3.3 Turkey

          $232.00

          1. Table | TURKEY: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

          2. Table | TURKEY: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

        4. 8.3.4 Iran

          $210.00

          1. Table | IRAN: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

          2. Table | IRAN: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

        5. 8.3.5 Nigeria

          $227.00

          1. Table | NIGERIA: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

          2. Table | NIGERIA: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

        6. 8.3.6 Other Africa/Mideast

          $294.00

          1. Table | OTHER AFRICA/MIDEAST: BUS SUPPLY & DEMAND (units)

          2. Table | OTHER AFRICA/MIDEAST: BUSES IN USE & BUS DEMAND BY PRODUCT (units)

    9. 9 INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

      $5,935.00

      1. 9.1 General

        $82.00

      2. 9.2 Industry Composition

        $82.00

        1. Table | BUS SALES FOR SELECTED MANUFACTURERS, 2011

      3. 9.3 Market Share

        $221.00

      4. 9.4 Research & Product Development

        $111.00

      5. 9.5 Manufacturing

        $130.00

      6. 9.6 Marketing & Distribution

        $108.00

      7. 9.7 Cooperative Agreements

        $279.00

        1. Table | SELECTED COOPERATIVE AGREEMENTS

      8. 9.8 Financial Issues & Requirements

        $82.00

      9. 9.9 Mergers & Acquisitions

        $113.00

        1. Table | SELECTED ACQUISITIONS & DIVESTITURES

      10. 9.10 Company Profiles

        $4,403.00

        1. 9.10.1 Alexander Dennis Limited

          $149.00

        2. 9.10.2 Allied Specialty Vehicles Incorporated

          $82.00

        3. 9.10.3 Anhui Ankai Automobile Company Limited

          $82.00

        4. 9.10.4 Ashok Leyland Limited

          $141.00

        5. 9.10.5 Berkshire Hathaway Incorporated

          $109.00

        6. 9.10.6 Blue Bird Corporation

          $92.00

        7. 9.10.7 Consorcio G Grupo Dina SA de CV

          $82.00

        8. 9.10.8 Daewoo Bus Corporation

          $119.00

        9. 9.10.9 Daimler AG

          $334.00

        10. 9.10.10 Dongfeng Motor Corporation Company Limited

          $82.00

        11. 9.10.11 Eicher Motors Limited

          $82.00

        12. 9.10.12 Fiat Industrial SpA

          $115.00

        13. 9.10.13 Fiat SpA

          $82.00

        14. 9.10.14 GAZ OAO

          $82.00

        15. 9.10.15 General Motors Company

          $83.00

        16. 9.10.16 Gillig LLC

          $82.00

        17. 9.10.17 Haci Ömer Sabanci Holding A Ş

          $84.00

        18. 9.10.18 Hyundai Motor Company

          $100.00

        19. 9.10.19 Irizar S Cooperativa

          $111.00

        20. 9.10.20 Liaoning SG Automotive Group Company Limited

          $82.00

        21. 9.10.21 MAN SE

          $161.00

        22. 9.10.22 Marcopolo SA

          $170.00

        23. 9.10.23 Minsky Avtomobilny Zavod JSC

          $82.00

        24. 9.10.24 Motor Coach Industries Incorporated

          $82.00

        25. 9.10.25 Navistar International Corporation

          $234.00

        26. 9.10.26 New Flyer Industries Incorporated

          $116.00

        27. 9.10.27 North American Bus Industries Incorporated

          $82.00

        28. 9.10.28 Proterra Incorporated

          $82.00

        29. 9.10.29 Scania AB

          $175.00

        30. 9.10.30 Solaris Bus & Coach SA

          $82.00

        31. 9.10.31 Tata Motors Limited

          $101.00

        32. 9.10.32 Thor Industries Incorporated

          $109.00

        33. 9.10.33 Toyota Motor Corporation

          $233.00

        34. 9.10.34 Van Hool NV

          $82.00

        35. 9.10.35 VDL Groep BV

          $156.00

        36. 9.10.36 Volvo AB

          $238.00

        37. 9.10.37 Wright Group Limited

          $82.00

        38. 9.10.38 Xiamen King Long Motor Company Limited

          $141.00

        39. 9.10.39 Yangzhou Yaxing Motor Coach Company Limited

          $82.00

        40. 9.10.40 Zhengzhou Yutong Bus Company Limited

          $82.00

        41. 9.10.41 Zhongtong Bus Holding Company Limited

          $82.00

        42. 9.10.42 Zonda Group

          $82.00

      11. 9.11 Other Companies Mentioned in Study

        $410.00

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