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Freedonia Market Research Blog Update: Ultra-Low-Cost Carriers Continue to Outperform the Airline Industry

Update: Ultra-Low-Cost Carriers Continue to Outperform the Airline Industry

by Leon Mengri

January 25, 2019

Ultra-low-cost carriers (ULCCs) disrupted the US airline industry with a new business model – discounted fares in exchange for stripped-down service – and they continue to enjoy significant success. Global revenues for Spirit Airlines and Allegiant Travel Company, two of the three leading ULCCs in the country, grew at an average annual rate of 15% over the 2010-2017 period, roughly 3.6 times faster than the airline industry overall. Frontier Airlines is the other ULCC that participates in the US airline industry but is not publicly traded and does not publish financial data.

Line graph titled "Index of US Air Transport Industry Revenue Versus Spirit & Allegiant Global Revenue (2010=100)."  The Total Industry line remains relatively flat, increasing slowly from 100 in 2010 to around 141 in 2017.  The Spirit & Allegiant line rises sharply, from 100 in 2010 to nearly 300 by 2017, showing rapid revenue growth compared to the industry average.

Data table titled "Index of US Air Transport Industry Revenue Versus Spirit & Allegiant Global Revenue, 2010–2017 (2010=100)."  Total Industry Revenue increases from 100 in 2010 to 141.2 in 2017 with a CAGR of 4.1%25.  Spirit & Allegiant Revenue increases from 100 to 291.0 over the same period, with a much higher CAGR of 14.8%25. R² values indicate high correlation for both series.

 

Business Model

In addition to low fares, ULCCs have benefited from serving destinations such as small and mid-sized cities or vacation spots that were previously deemed unprofitable by larger carriers due to low or seasonal passenger volumes. For example, as of February 2017, Allegiant Travel Company served 119 cities, including 118 traditionally underserved leisure (20) and nonleisure (98) destinations. In addition, the discount fares offered by ULCCs typically expand the customer base of air travelers. Rather than simply capture business and recreation air travelers from traditional airlines, ULCCs report that their more affordable fares also convert non-flyers to flyers.

Fees

Another key aspect of the ULCC business model involves charging extra for substantially all amenities, conveniences, and services, such as checked bags, food, and water. In 2017, non-ticket revenue amounted to 46% of passenger-related revenues for Spirit and Allegiant, a considerable increase from 30% in 2010. Despite the fees, however, many travelers continue to value the low-cost fare, boosting the fortunes of ULCCs. Nevertheless, the growth rate of ULCC revenues slowed during the 2014-2017 period, compared to the faster gains during the 2010-2014 time span. Reasons for the slowdown include the maturation of the market for very low fares and the introduction of budget fares by traditional carriers, including American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, and United Continental. The performance of the ULCCs and the impact they have on the airline industry on factors such as fare prices and fees will be an interesting trend to follow in the years ahead.

Bar chart titled "Spirit Airlines & Allegiant Travel Company Ticket Versus Non-Ticket Revenue (US$ mil)."  Ticket revenue is shown in orange and Non-ticket revenue in blue.  From 2010 to 2017, non-ticket revenue grew steadily and began to nearly match or exceed ticket revenue by 2017.

Data table titled "Spirit Airlines & Allegiant Travel Company Ticket Versus Non-Ticket Revenue (US$ mil)."  Total revenue grew from $1,379 million in 2010 to $4,012 million in 2017.  Ticket revenue grew at an AAGR of 11.0%25, while non-ticket revenue grew faster at 21.0%25.  R² values are high, indicating consistent growth trends.

 

Learn More

For more insights into the US air transport services industry, see Air Transport Services: United States, a report published by the Freedonia Focus Reports division of The Freedonia Group. This report forecasts to 2022 US air transport service revenues in nominal US dollars. Total revenues are segmented by source in terms of:

  • domestic scheduled passenger
  • international scheduled passenger
  • domestic nonscheduled (i.e., chartered) passenger
  • international nonscheduled (i.e., chartered) passenger
  • domestic scheduled freight
  • international scheduled freight
  • other sources such as fees, nonscheduled (i.e., chartered) freight services, and specialty air transport services

To illustrate historical trends, total revenues, the various segments, the number of firms and establishments, and employment are provided in annual series from 2007 to 2017. In addition, industry expenses and net profit margin are provided in annual series from 2009 to 2017.

This report represents employer and nonemployer revenues for the US air transport service industry, which includes the revenues of US-headquartered firms as well as the revenues of foreign-headquartered firms for flights that land or take-off in the US. Notably, foreign-owned carriers may operate international flights to and from the US but cannot fly between US airports. Activities excluded from the scope of this report include crop dusting and fighting forest fires using specialized aircraft, specialized air sightseeing services, gathering of geophysical data, specialized flying schools, and recreation aviation clubs.

Key macroeconomic indicators are also provided with quantified trends. Other various topics, including profiles of pertinent leading suppliers, are covered in this report. A full outline of report items by page is available in the Table of Contents.

Related Focus Reports include:

  • Civil Aircraft: United States
  • Lodging Services: United States
  • Public Transport: United States
  • Recreation: United States
  • Travel Services: United States
  • Water Transport Services: United States

About the Author

Leon Mengri is a Senior Market Research Analyst with Freedonia Focus Reports. He conducts research and writes a variety of Focus Reports, which offer concise overviews of market size, product segmentation, business trends, and more.

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