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Freedonia Market Research Blog The Smoldering Remains of American Coal

The Smoldering Remains of American Coal

by Chris Dyer

October 15, 2018

Coal production in the US continues to fall year-over-year, despite the best efforts of the current administration to end the “war on coal” and efforts by industry insiders to maintain market share. Even with relaxed environmental standards, demand for coal is falling precipitously. If environmental regulations are not responsible for killing coal, what is?

A Lump of Coal in Your Stocking

With the beginning of a new Presidential administration came concentrated, enthusiastic efforts to revive the ailing coal industry. Environmental regulations were eased through the rollback of the Clean Power Plan, encouraging increased investment in coal.

Initially, these efforts were effective. Production saw a slight boost and jobs in the industry saw some expansion, but the uptick didn’t last. It couldn’t.

Canary in the Coal Mine

Competition from alternative energy sources poses a significant challenge to the coal industry. Coal production saw significant declines between 2011 and 2016 largely due to the increased availability of affordable natural gas resulting from the rapid expansion of the fracking industry. As battery technology improved, and continues to improve, intermittent energy sources such as wind and solar have become more competitive.

Line chart titled “Energy Production Index (2007=1.00)” showing indexed production levels from 2007 to 2017 for three sources: Coal, Natural Gas, and Renewables/Other.  Coal declines steadily from 1.0 in 2007 to about 0.7 by 2017.  Natural Gas increases gradually, peaking near 1.4.  Renewables/Other shows the strongest growth, reaching about 1.65 by 2017.

Many coal-fired power plants have been converted to utilize alternative energy sources, downsized, or outright demolished. A significant revival of the coal industry remains unlikely – not because of regulatory challenges, but good old-fashioned competition.

Want to Learn More?

Don’t worry, we have you covered! For additional information and analysis of US industry trends, see Coal: United States, a report published by the Freedonia Focus Reports division of The Freedonia Group. This report forecasts to 2022 US coal production and demand in short tons. Total production is segmented by rank in terms of:

  • sub-bituminous
  • bituminous
  • lignite and anthracite

Total demand is segmented by market as follows:

  • electric power
  • commercial, industrial, and other markets

To illustrate historical trends, total production, total demand, the various segments, and trade are provided in annual series from 2007 to 2017.

While you’re there, check out some of our related reports, which include:

  • Crude Petroleum: United States
  • Energy: United States
  • Motor Vehicle Biofuels: United States
  • Natural Gas: United States
  • Refined Petroleum Products: United States
  • Renewable Energy: United States

About the Author

Chris Dyer is a Market Research Analyst for Freedonia Focus Reports. He holds a Master of Arts in Security Studies, and his experience as an analyst covers multiple industries.

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