Industry Reports

National Instructional Materials Adoption Scorecard and Outlook to 2028 Report

States are reshaping instructional materials decisions through new mandates, updated standards, and expanding subject-area requirements. This report highlights key adoption outcomes and reveals what to expect across major K–12 reviews through 2028.

National Instructional Materials Adoption Scorecard and Outlook to 2028 Report cover

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  • Methodology
    • Sources
  • Executive Summary
    • Key Findings
  • Market Environment
    • Background
    • Adoption State Scale
    • Adoption State Dynamics
      • Top-Down Control Versus Local Autonomy
      • Evolving Academic Standards
      • Evaluation Processes
    • Market Drivers
      • The Nation’s Report Card
        • Table | NAEP Scores: Reading, Grades 4 and 8, 1992 – 2024
        • Table | NAEP Scores: Mathematics, Grades 4 and 8, 1992 – 2024
        • Table | NAEP Scores: Science, Grade 8, 2009 – 2024
      • State NAEP Scores
        • Table | Percent of Fourth-Grade Students Performing At or Above NAEP-Proficient Level, Reading and Math: Ado
      • Population Impacts
    • Policy and Legislation Trends
      • Literacy Policies and Legislation
      • Parents’ Rights
      • Separation of Church and State
      • School Choice Programs Expand
    • Adoption States: Education Policy and Legislation
      • Alabama
      • California
      • Florida
      • Idaho
      • Indiana
      • Kentucky
      • Louisiana
      • Mississippi
      • Nevada
      • New Mexico
      • North Carolina
      • Oklahoma
      • Oregon
      • Rhode Island
      • South Carolina
      • Tennessee
      • Texas
      • Utah
      • Virginia
      • West Virginia
  • 2024-2025 Adoption Year Results
    • Florida Adopts ELA and Reading Intervention
      • Comprehensive Literacy Support
      • New Path for ELA
      • K-5 ELA and Reading
        • Table | Florida K-5 English Language Arts: Adoption List
      • Middle School ELA
        • Table | Florida Middle School English Language Arts: Adoption List
      • Florida High School ELA
      • Publisher Performance
    • Early Literacy Adoption in Texas
      • Literacy
      • Student Demographics
      • Foundational Language Skills
      • Publisher Performance
        • Table | Texas K-5 English Language Arts and Reading; Phonics: Adoption List
    • Texas Adds Mathematics Curricula
      • STAAR Results
      • Publishers in Texas Math Bid
        • Table | Texas Mathematics: Adoption List
    • South Carolina Pivots to Math
      • Economic Growth
      • Math Proficiency Metrics
      • The Palmetto Math Project
      • New Instructional Materials
        • Table | South Carolina K-12 Mathematics: Adoption List
    • Spotlight on Science in Alabama
      • Record Education Budget
      • The Southern Surge
      • New Science Standards
      • Review of Science Materials
        • Table | Alabama K-12 Science: Adoption List
    • Adoption Scorecard 2024
      • ELA in Florida and Texas
      • Mathematics in South Carolina and Texas
      • Alabama Science Adoption
      • Publisher Performance: Overall
    • Market Insights
  • The 2025-2026 Adoption Year and Beyond
    • Introduction
    • California Math Adoption
      • The New Math Framework
      • Math Proficiency
      • An Adoption Gold Rush
      • Implementation
        • Table | California K-8 Mathematics: Adoption List
    • Florida K-12 Mathematics
      • Math Proficiency
      • Florida Math Bids
        • Table | Florida K-12 Mathematics Adoption: Short Bid Report
    • Indiana ELA
      • Literacy Vision
      • Literacy Metrics
      • Curriculum Review
        • Table | Indiana K-8 Core Reading Advisory List
    • Conclusions
    • Adoption Outlook
      • 2025-2026
      • 2026-2027
      • 2027-2028
      • 2028-2029
        • Table | Instructional Materials Adoption Outlook, 2025 – 2028
  • Appendix
    • Table | Florida High School English Language Arts and Reading: 2024-2025 Adoption List
How are new state mandates and standards updates influencing upcoming adoption cycles?

States continue to revise literacy, numeracy, science, social studies, civics, and financial literacy standards, which has expanded the scope of subject areas entering review during the 2024–2028 period. These updates are reshaping evaluation rubrics, alignment expectations, and the structure of statewide and district-level adoption processes

What challenges are publishers facing in today’s adoption environment—and what opportunities do these challenges create

States are increasing the rigor of their evaluation frameworks, expanding transparency requirements, and adding new content criteria tied to legislation. While this raises development demands for publishers, it also creates opportunities for programs that offer clear alignment, strong instructional coherence, and support for emerging subject-area mandates.

What subjects are most likely to drive instructional materials demand in the next four years?

Based on documented state review schedules and standards updates, major activity is expected in reading/ELA, mathematics, science, social studies and civics, financial literacy, and CTE. The timing of these state-led reviews will influence publisher development cycles and market opportunities

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