Lubricants - Demand and Sales Forecasts, Market Share, Market Size, Market Leaders

Study #: 3667 | Published: 08/2018 | Pages: 290 | Individual User License: US$ 5,400

Demand for Lubricants Through 2022

Lubricant demand is expected to grow through 2022, thanks to lengthened drain intervals, more efficient machinery, increased lubricant quality, and more.

Growth in the Lubricants Industry

Strong growth in the number of active oil and gas rigs and expansion in US construction activity will boost demand for lubricants in the commercial and industrial market. In particular, engine oils and transmission fluids are expected to do well. Engine oils will provide the best opportunities for lubricants, as motor vehicle production expands and miles traveled per vehicle increase. In addition, the introduction of more stringent gasoline and diesel engine regulations will support gains for high-value engine oils. Another growth trend is that improved performance characteristics and government regulations will buoy synthetic base oil sales.

Lubricants Industry Structure

Companies active in the US lubricant industry range from small, independent lubricant blenders to some of the world’s largest petroleum companies. The need for economies of scale and the benefits of vertical integration have caused the US lubricant industry to be led by major petroleum companies. Many specialty lubricant suppliers have sought acquisitions, either to consolidate with competitors or to branch out into other specialty areas.

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Table of Contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

OVERVIEW

Key Findings

Scope

Environmental & Regulatory Issues

Regulatory Agencies & Related Legislation

Biobased Lubricants

Recycling

Re-Refining

Motor Vehicle Lubricant Classification & Testing

Foreign Trade

International Activity

Pricing Trends

Historical Market Trends

Formulations

Formulations: Product Comparison

Formulations: Demand Forecast

Conventional Formulations

Synthetic Lubricants

Re-Refined Lubricants

Biobased Lubricants

LUBRICANT BASESTOCKS

Key Findings

Lubricant Production Overview

Finished Lubricant Production

Basestock Classifications

Basestock Demand

Petroleum Base Oil

Petroleum Base Oil: Paraffinic & Naphthenic

Petroleum Base Oil: Supply & Demand Drivers & Constraints

Petroleum Base Oil: Refining Capacity

Nonconventional Basestocks

Scope

Demand by Type

Overview

Synthetic Base Fluids

Re-Refined Base Oils

Biobased Oils

PRODUCTS

Key Findings

Demand by Type

Engine Oils

Engine Oils: Product Characteristics

Engine Oils: Demand by Type & Formulation

Motor Vehicle Engine Oils

Overview

Light Vehicle Engine Oil Viscosity Grades

Other Engine Oils

Engine Oils: Selected Suppliers & Products

Transmission & Hydraulic Fluids

Transmission & Hydraulic Fluids: Product Description

Transmission & Hydraulic Fluids: Demand by Type & Market

Overview

Industrial Hydraulic Fluids

Automatic Transmission Fluids

Tractor Hydraulic & Transmission Fluids

Other Transmission & Hydraulic Fluids

Transmission & Hydraulic Fluids: Selected Suppliers & Products

Process Oils

Process Oils: Product Description

Process Oils: Demand by Type & Market

Overview

Rubber Oils

White Oils

Electrical Oils

Other Process Oils

Process Oils: Selected Suppliers & Products

Metalworking Fluids

Metalworking Fluids: Scope & Characteristics

Metalworking Fluids: Demand by Market

Metalworking Fluids: Selected Suppliers & Products

General Industrial Oils

General Industrial Oils: Product Description

General Industrial Oils: Demand by Type & Market

Overview

Turbine Oils

Other General Industrial Oils

General Industrial Oils: Selected Suppliers & Products

Gear Oils

Gear Oils: Product Description

Gear Oils: Demand by Type & Market

Overview

Motor Vehicle & Equipment Gear Oils

Industrial Gear Oils

Gear Oils: Selected Suppliers & Products

Greases

Greases: Product Description

Greases: Demand by Type & Market

Overview

Industrial & Vehicle & Equipment Greases

Greases: Selected Suppliers & Products

MARKETS

Key Findings

Demand by Market

Light Vehicles

Light Vehicles: Scope

Light Vehicles: Demand by Type

Engine Oils

Automatic Transmission Fluids

Other Lubricants

Light Vehicles: Engine Oil Demand by Outlet

Aftermarket Versus Factory Fill

Professional

Quick Lubes

Automobile Dealerships

Other Professional Outlets

DIY

OEM Factory Fill

Light Vehicles: Selected Suppliers

Commercial & Industrial

Commercial & Industrial: Demand by Market & Type

Agricultural

Agricultural: Scope

Agricultural: Demand by Type

Construction Equipment

Construction Equipment: Scope

Construction Equipment: Demand by Type

Oil & Gas Production

Oil & Gas Production: Scope

Oil & Gas Production: Demand by Type

Electricity Generation & Transmission

Electricity Generation & Transmission: Scope

Electricity Generation & Transmission: Demand by Type

Other Commercial & Industrial Markets

Other Commercial & Industrial Markets: Scope

Other Commercial & Industrial Markets: Demand by Market & Type

Nondurable Goods Manufacturing

Nondurable Goods Manufacturing: Demand by Market & Type

Plastics & Rubber

Plastics & Rubber: Scope

Plastics & Rubber: Demand by End Use & Type

Cosmetics & Toiletries

Cosmetics & Toiletries: Scope

Cosmetics & Toiletries: Demand by Type

Food & Beverages

Food & Beverages: Scope

Food & Beverages: Demand by Type

Chemical Production

Chemical Production: Scope

Chemical Production: Demand by Type

Paper & Textiles

Paper & Textiles: Scope

Paper & Textiles: Demand by Type

Other Nondurable Goods Manufacturing

Other Nondurable Goods Manufacturing: Scope

Other Nondurable Goods Manufacturing: Demand by Type

Transportation Equipment

Transportation Equipment: Scope

Transportation Equipment: Demand by Market & Type

Heavy Trucks & Buses

Heavy Trucks & Buses: Scope

Heavy Trucks & Buses: Demand by Type

Marine Equipment

Marine Equipment: Scope

Marine Equipment: Demand by Type

Railroad Equipment

Railroad Equipment: Scope

Railroad Equipment: Demand by Type

Aerospace Equipment

Aerospace Equipment: Scope

Aerospace Equipment: Demand by Type

Other Transportation Equipment

Other Transportation Equipment: Scope

Other Transportation Equipment: Demand by Type

Durable Goods Manufacturing

Durable Goods Manufacturing: Scope

Durable Goods Manufacturing: Demand by Market & Type

Machinery

Machinery: Scope

Machinery: Demand by Market & Type

Transportation Equipment Manufacturing

Transportation Equipment Manufacturing: Scope

Transportation Equipment Manufacturing: Demand by Type

Metals

Metals: Scope

Metals: Demand by Type

Other Durable Goods Manufacturing

Other Durable Goods Manufacturing: Scope

Other Durable Goods Manufacturing: Demand by Type

INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

Key Findings & Industry Composition

Market Share

Acquisitions & Divestures

Competitive Strategies

Marketing

Overview

Industrial Lubricant Marketing Strategies

Automotive Lubricant Marketing Strategies

Distribution

Refining & Blending

List of Industry Participants

APPENDIX

Scope

Definitions

Abbreviations

Freedonia Methodology

Study Specific Methodology

Sources

Associations & Agencies

Related Freedonia Group Studies

Macroeconomic Assumptions

Economic Environment

Demographic Trends

Consumer Spending

Markets Overview

Manufacturing

Vehicles Outlook


List of Tables

OVERVIEW

Table 2-1 | US Finished Lubricant Foreign Trade, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 2-2 | Selected Lubricant Pricing, 2007 - 2022 (dollars per gallon)

Table 2-3 | Lubricant Market in the US, 2007 - 2017

Table 2-4 | Lubricants: Demand by Formulation, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 2-5 | Conventional Lubricant Formulations: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 2-6 | Synthetic Lubricant Formulations, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 2-7 | Synthetic Lubricant Formulations: Advantages & Disadvantages

Table 2-8 | Re-Refined Lubricant Formulations, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 2-9 | Biobased Lubricant Formulations, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 2-10 | Biobased Lubricants: Selected Suppliers & Products

LUBRICANT BASESTOCKS

Table 3-1 | Lubricant Basestock Classifications

Table 3-2 | Lubricant Basestocks: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 3-3 | Petroleum Base Oil Supply & Demand, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 3-4 | US Petroleum Base Oil Refining Capacity by Company, 2017 (million gallons per year)

Table 3-5 | Nonconventional Basestocks: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

PRODUCTS

Table 4-1 | Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-2 | Engine Oils: Demand by Type, Formulation, & Outlet, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-3 | Motor Vehicle Engine Oil: Demand by Engine Type & Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-4 | Light Vehicle Engine Oil: Demand by Viscosity Grade, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-5 | Other Engine Oils: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-6 | Engine Oils: Selected Suppliers & Products

Table 4-7 | Transmission & Hydraulic Fluids: Demand by Type & Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-8 | Industrial Hydraulic Fluids: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-9 | Automatic Transmission Fluids: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-10 | Tractor Hydraulic & Transmission Fluids: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-11 | Other Transmission & Hydraulic Fluids: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-12 | Transmission & Hydraulic Fluids: Selected Suppliers & Products

Table 4-13 | Process Oils: Demand by Type & Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-14 | Rubber Oils: Demand, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-15 | White Oils: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-16 | Electrical Oils: Demand by Type & Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-17 | Other Process Oils: Demand by Type & Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-18 | Other Processing Oils: Product Types & Characteristics

Table 4-19 | Process Oils: Selected Suppliers & Products

Table 4-20 | Metalworking Fluids: Selected Product Characteristics

Table 4-21 | Metalworking Fluids: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-22 | Metalworking Fluids: Selected Suppliers & Products

Table 4-23 | General Industrial Oils: Demand by Type & Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-24 | Turbine Oils: Demand, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-25 | Other General Oils: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-26 | Other General Oils: Product Types & Characteristics

Table 4-27 | General Industrial Oils: Selected Suppliers & Products

Table 4-28 | Gear Oils: Demand by Type & Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-29 | Gear Oils: Selected Suppliers & Products

Table 4-30 | Greases: Demand by Type & Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 4-31 | Greases: Selected Suppliers & Products

MARKETS

Table 5-1 | Lubricants: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-2 | Light Vehicles Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-3 | Light Vehicles Engine Oil: Demand by Sector & Outlet, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-4 | Light Vehicles Lubricants: Selected Suppliers & Brands

Table 5-5 | Commercial & Industrial Lubricants: Demand by Market & Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-6 | Agricultural Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-7 | Construction Equipment Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-8 | Oil & Gas Production Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-9 | Electricity Generation Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-10 | Other Commercial & Industrial Lubricants: Demand by Market & Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-11 | Nondurable Goods Manufacturing Lubricants: Demand by Market & Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-12 | Plastics & Rubber Lubricants: Demand by End Use & Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-13 | Cosmetics & Toiletries Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-14 | Food & Beverage Production Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-15 | Chemical Production Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-16 | Papers & Textiles Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-17 | Other Nondurable Goods Manufacturing Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-18 | Transportation Lubricants: Demand by Market & Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-19 | Heavy Trucks & Buses Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-20 | Marine Equipment Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-21 | Railroad Equipment Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-22 | Aerospace Equipment Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-23 | Other Transportation Equipment Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-24 | Durable Goods Manufacturing Lubricants: Demand by Market & Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-25 | Machinery Manufacturing Lubricants: Demand by Market & Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-26 | Transportation Equipment OEM Manufacturing Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-27 | Metal Products Manufacturing Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Table 5-28 | Other Durable Goods Manufacturing Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

Table 6-1 | US Lubricants Sales by Company, 2017 (million dollars)

Table 6-2 | Selected Acquisitions & Divestitures

Table 6-3 | Selected Cooperative Agreements

APPENDIX

Table 7-1 | Relevant Industry Codes

Table 7-2 | Relevant Trade Codes

Table 7-3 | Abbreviations & Acronyms Used in Study

Table 7-4 | Macroeconomic Indicators, 2007 - 2022 (billion 2009 dollars)

Table 7-5 | Population & Households, 2007 - 2022 (million persons)

Table 7-6 | Personal Consumption Expenditures, 2007 - 2022 (billion 2009 dollars)

Table 7-7 | Manufacturers' Shipments, 2007 - 2022 (billion 2009 dollars)

Table 7-8 | Vehicle Indicators


List of Figures

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Figure 1-1 | US Lubricants Market

OVERVIEW

Figure 2-1 | Key Trends in the US Lubricants Market

Figure 2-2 | Lubricants Pricing Trends, 2007 - 2017

Figure 2-3 | Lubricant Market in the US, 2007 - 2017

Figure 2-4 | Lubricants: Market Share by Formulation, 2007 - 2022 (gallons)

Figure 2-5 | Conventional Lubricant Formulations: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

LUBRICANT BASESTOCKS

Figure 3-1 | Lubricant Basestocks in the US

Figure 3-2 | Lubricant Production Flowchart

Figure 3-3 | Petroleum Base Oil Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Figure 3-4 | US Petroleum Base Oil Refining Capacity by Company, 2017 (billion gallons)

PRODUCTS

Figure 4-1 | Lubricant Products in the US

Figure 4-2 | Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2017 - 2022 (million gallons)

Figure 4-3 | Engine Oils: Product Characteristics, Opportunities, & Threats

Figure 4-4 | Light Vehicle Engine Oil: Demand by Viscosity Grade, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Figure 4-5 | Other Engine Oils: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Figure 4-6 | Transmission & Hydraulic Fluids: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Figure 4-7 | Industrial Hydraulic Fluids: Product Characteristics, Opportunities, & Threats

Figure 4-8 | Automatic Transmission Fluids: Product Characteristics, Opportunities, & Threats

Figure 4-9 | Other Transmission & Hydraulic Fluids: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Figure 4-10 | Process Oils: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Figure 4-11 | White Oils: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Figure 4-12 | Electrical Oils: Key Market Trends, Opportunities, & Threats

Figure 4-13 | Metalworking Fluids: Product Characteristics & Key Trends

Figure 4-14 | General Industrial Oils: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Figure 4-15 | Greases: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

MARKETS

Figure 5-1 | Lubricants Market in the US

Figure 5-2 | Lubricants: Demand by Market, 2017 - 2022

Figure 5-3 | Light Vehicle Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Figure 5-4 | Do-It-Yourself Oil Change Market Share, 2007 - 2022 (gallons)

Figure 5-5 | Commercial & Industrial Lubricants: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Figure 5-6 | Agricultural Lubricants: Market Characteristics, Opportunities, & Threats

Figure 5-7 | Construction Equipment Lubricants: Key Trends, Opportunities, & Threats

Figure 5-8 | Oil & Gas Production Lubricants: Market Characteristics, Opportunities, & Threats

Figure 5-9 | Electricity Generation Lubricants: Market Characteristics, Opportunities, & Threats

Figure 5-10 | Other Commercial & Industrial Lubricants: Key Trends, Opportunities, & Threats

Figure 5-11 | Nondurable Goods Manufacturing Lubricants: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Figure 5-12 | Plastics & Rubber Lubricants: Market Characteristics, Opportunities, & Threats

Figure 5-13 | Food & Beverage Production Lubricants: Market Characteristics & Key Trends

Figure 5-14 | Transportation Lubricants: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Figure 5-15 | Heavy Trucks & Buses Lubricants: Key Trends, Opportunities, & Threats

Figure 5-16 | Marine Equipment Lubricants: Key Trends, Opportunities, & Threats

Figure 5-17 | Durable Goods Manufacturing Lubricants: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Figure 5-18 | Machinery Manufacturing Lubricants: Demand by Market, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

Figure 5-19 | Transportation Equipment OEM Manufacturing Lubricants: Demand by Type, 2007 - 2022 (million gallons)

INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

Figure 6-1 | US Lubricants Market Share, 2017 (billion dollars)

Figure 6-2 | US Lubricants: Market Leader

Figure 6-3 | US Lubricants: Second Market Leader

Figure 6-4 | US Lubricants: Third Market Leader

Figure 6-5 | US Lubricants: Fourth Market Leader

Figure 6-6 | US Lubricants: Fifth Market Leader

Figure 6-7 | US Lubricants Market: Sixth Market Leader

APPENDIX

Figure 7-1 | Annual Growth in Real GDP, 2000 - 2017, Compared to 1980 - 2005 Average (percent)

Figure 7-2 | Annual Population Growth, 2002 - 2017 (percent)


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