Global Hybrid and Electric Vehicles by Type, Vehicle Segment and Region, 4th Edition

HEVs

Factors driving HEV sales through 2022 include:

  • increasingly stringent air and emissions standards in many major markets
  • rising concern regarding greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) and clean energy efforts designed to combat global climate change
  • ongoing efforts to expand charging and fueling station infrastructure
  • various and diverse incentives packages

Key Findings in the Global Hybrid & Electric Vehicles Study:

China to Post Largest, Fastest Gains

China will register the fastest and largest sales gains, accounting for more than 70% of new sales through 2022, when it will surpass Japan to become the leading global HEV market. Medium- and heavy-duty vehicles account for a disproportionate share of sales compared to other national markets and reflect public HEV procurement efforts in an effort to address concerns regarding air quality and vehicle emissions in major city centers.

Healthy Outlook in Western Europe

Despite their status as more mature HEV markets, many West European nations will register some of the fastest average annual gains through 2022, and collectively, they will account for the second largest share of new sales. Regional purchases will be buoyed by participation in the 2016 Paris Agreement, with a reduction of vehicle emissions one way of achieving overall GHG emissions reduction goals.

Electric Vehicles to Post Faster Gains, Hybrid Vehicles to Account for Slightly Larger Gains

Electric vehicles (EVs) registered torrid growth between 2012 and 2017, expanding more than 13-fold to 980,000 units in 2017. Through 2022, EVs are forecast to continue to outperform hybrid vehicles, with sales buoyed by:

  • increasing vehicle range and the rising number of available models
  • falling lithium-ion battery prices, which lower overall vehicle costs to consumers
  • diverse incentives and subsidies, many of which favor EVs over hybrids
  • ongoing efforts to expand domestic charging infrastructure

Nevertheless, hybrids – including full hybrid (FHEV) and plug-in hybrid (PHEV) vehicles – will still account for slightly more than half of new HEV sales in 2022, boosted by:

  • greater accessibility of FHEVs to those in developing areas with poor access to electricity or charging infrastructure
  • a shift in policy in the large Chinese market toward FHEVs

Study Coverage

This industry study presents historical demand data (2012 and 2017) and forecasts for 2022 and 2027 by vehicle type (full hybrid, plug-in hybrid, battery electric, and fuel cell electric), country, and vehicle segment (light vehicles and medium- and heavy-duty vehicles). The study also evaluates company market share and provides analysis of key players that include BAIC, BMW, BYD, Ford, Geely, Honda, Hyundai-Kia, the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance, Tesla, and Toyota.

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