Report Overview
Featuring 24 tables and 16 figures – now available in Excel and Powerpoint! Learn More
Demand for outdoor heating products is projected to decrease less than 1.0% per year to $830 million in 2026, from an unusually high base. Sales surged in 2020 and 2021 as consumers and businesses invested heavily in outdoor spaces because of the COVID-19 pandemic; consequently, the growth outlook is subdued as the market returns to more sustainable levels. Nevertheless, demand will remain elevated through the forecast, with the market supported by:
- high consumer participation in outdoor living, which often involves furnishing outdoor spaces with one or more patio heating products
- advances in construction of buildings – including both residential and nonresidential – with developed outdoor living spaces and outdoor areas, respectively
- rising consumer spending, allowing for greater investment in outdoor living amenities
- increasing interest in higher value heating products such as those with built-in gas lines, Wi-Fi connectivity, and smart home integration
COVID-19 Pandemic Expanded Already Strong Outdoor Living Trends
While outdoor living was already popular prior to the pandemic, the advent of COVID-19 accelerated this trend, with concerns over airborne virus transmission encouraging people to socialize outdoors. Home and business owners invested in outdoor heating products to enable comfortable use of outdoor areas throughout the year.
Going forward, outdoor living spaces will continue to grow more elaborate, involving multiple areas for family or business use. Increasingly, these areas will feature one or more outdoor heating units – such as backyard fire pits, fireplaces to complement outdoor kitchens, and radiant heaters to warm entertaining areas – in order to extend the outdoor living season beyond just the warm months of the year. These trends support not only more intensive use of outdoor heating products, but also higher value products with improved aesthetics and features like Wi-Fi connectivity.
Radiant Heaters to Remain Leading Product Due to Intensive Use in Commercial Markets
Radiant heaters will continue to be the most used outdoor heating product type, supported by their popularity in commercial establishments such as bar and restaurant patios due to the ability of wall- and ceiling-mounted units to provide heating while maximizing the amount of available outdoor space. Radiant heaters have also become increasingly popular for residences, as these products provide an easily adjustable heat source that allows homeowners to use their outdoor spaces in colder weather.
Interest in Higher Value Patio Heating Products Will Continue to Support Demand
Long-term sales will benefit from interest in higher value products, such as those featuring more stylish and/or practical designs (e.g., indoor-quality finishes; units with built-in compartments for gas tank storage) and high-tech capabilities such as Wi-Fi connectivity and smart-home integration. Although restrained somewhat by supply chain issues in recent years, the growing availability of higher end private label products imported from countries such as China and India – which are still typically lower in cost than their US-made counterparts – will support penetration of higher value heating units.
Historical Market Trends
The outdoor heating products market can be somewhat volatile due to the variability of consumer spending, building construction and renovation, and weather. In addition, trends in consumer behavior and preferences play a large role in the outdoor living market. For example, when “staycations” are popular (as in times of economic downturn, or more recently during the pandemic), there is generally greater investment in products like outdoor heating equipment.
Trends in the construction sector also influence demand for outdoor products. For example, new residential construction and home improvement activities often involve the installation of new patios, decks, and other outdoor living spaces that need to be outfitted.
To some extent, increasing demand for outdoor heating products counteracts the outdoor furniture and grill market’s seasonality by making outdoor spaces more comfortable and extending their usability into nights and colder seasons. However, many US climates still become too cold for part of the year for homeowners to use their outdoor living spaces year-round. Variations that develop from climate change may cause disruptions in these patterns going forward. The COVID-19 pandemic caused some of the traditional seasonality of the industry to blur as people changed their routines and behaviors to adapt to new living situations, spending more time at home and being more likely to invest in outdoor areas.
Outdoor Living
While consumers have always enjoyed various outdoor activities, the concept of outdoor living (e.g., entertaining, dining, and cooking outdoors) has evolved in the last decade. Increasingly, outdoor living means furnishing outdoor spaces with more than a simple patio set, but with a number of amenities, including heating elements. These products are frequently installed in outdoor living spaces such as kitchens, dining areas, and lounging areas to impart on them the comfort and functionality of their corresponding indoor spaces in colder weather. Thus, outdoor living continues to drive new sales of outdoor heating products.
During the COVID-19 pandemic, interest in outdoor living surged as consumer lifestyles changed. While spending more time at home, consumers grew to value their outdoor spaces more and increased investment in renovations that enhanced the utility and comfort of these spaces, such as by installing outdoor heating products.
Home renovation spending is expected to remain elevated compared to the pre-pandemic era and will continue to support outdoor heating product sales over the next several years.
In colder weather, outdoor heating products can be used to enhance comfort in a range of outdoor living activities, including:
- lounging (e.g., reading or watching TV)
- cooking and dining
- entertaining guests
- camping
- tailgating