US Commercial Roofing

Report Overview

Modernizing Commercial Roofs: Performance, Resilience, and Value

US commercial roofing is evolving as owners and facility managers confront aging building stock, stricter energy codes, and growing climate risks. Demand is shifting toward durable, energy-efficient systems—from single-ply membranes and metal panels to cool roofing and integrated green or solar solutions. This study analyzes the forces reshaping commercial roofing demand and the opportunities for suppliers and contractors to deliver long-term value.

Key Themes Covered in this Report:

• Aging nonresidential buildings drive steady reroofing demand - highlighting opportunities for durable, low-maintenance systems.
• Energy codes and sustainability goals boost adoption of cool roofs and advanced insulation - reducing operating costs and meeting regulatory standards.
• Climate risks and insurance pressures favor resilient materials - including wind- and impact-rated single-ply membranes and metal panels.
• Labor shortages and installation costs influence material choice - supporting growth in systems that simplify and speed installation.
• Supply chain volatility and raw material pricing shape contractor strategies, encouraging flexibility in bidding and sourcing

“Key Themes Covered in this Report” appears on the landing page toward the top but is also used for marketing email text too – try to be specific.

Featuring 63 Tables & 43 Figures

Commercial roofing demand totaled 83.2 million squares in 2024 and is projected to grow less than 1.0% annually and reach 85.2 million squares in 2029. Elevated levels of reroofing occurred during the latter part of the previous five-year period due to multiple severe weather events. As such, minimal growth is expected going forward, as most of these reroofed structures will not require additional work in the near term.

Market Reset: From Reroofing Rush to Steady Demand

The US commercial roofing market is shifting from a recent surge in reroofing activity – driven largely by severe weather damage and post-pandemic era renovations – toward a more moderate phase focused on ongoing maintenance and new construction. Though overall demand growth is expected to slow, the extensive aging commercial building stock continues to fuel steady reroofing and upkeep needs to extend roof lifespans and maintain building performance. New construction in data centers and institutional sectors offers additional opportunities, although cautious capital spending amid inflation and rising interest rates tempers more robust expansion. Today’s market favors roofing products that combine durability, ease of installation, and compliance with evolving building codes, with an increasing focus on energy efficiency and long-term cost savings shaping decision-making.

Material Innovation: Leading with Performance & Energy Efficiency

Materials that offer both strong performance and efficient installation provide some of the best opportunities in the commercial roofing industry:

• Thermoplastic membranes, especially TPO, lead the market by delivering an optimal balance of affordability, durability, and energy-efficient, cool roofing properties. Growing adoption of fully adhered and self-adhering membrane systems is helping reduce labor demands and accelerate installations.
• Metal roofing’s appeal grows steadily, prized for its longevity, severe weather resistance, and aesthetic versatility in commercial and industrial buildings.

More niche products – such as liquid-applied roof coatings and solar roofing  – are gaining traction as building owners strive to meet stricter energy codes and integrate renewable energy solutions.

Roofing’s Strategic Role in the Data Center Boom

The US data center roofing market is rapidly evolving as demand accelerates in response to growth in AI, cloud computing, and digital infrastructure. Roofing systems play a key role in ensuring thermal performance, energy efficiency, structural resilience, and integration with solar and mechanical systems. The push for sustainability and LEED certification at these facilities is driving adoption of cool roofs and photovoltaic-compatible materials. Retrofit projects at legacy data centers and the proliferation of edge sites also present new opportunities.

US Commercial Roofing Report Details

Leading Companies Driving Trends in the US Commercial Roofing

US Commercial Roofing Growth Drivers & Restraints

Shifts in demand for commercial roofing can vary from year to year and are determined by numerous factors, primarily those related to building construction activity. They include:

• interest rates – low interest rates may encourage business owners to take out lines of credit often used to fund roof repair and replacement projects
• the number and types of commercial buildings erected or repaired in any given year
• the type of roof (e.g., steep-slope or low-slope) installed on a structure that will be repaired or replaced
• the types of roofing materials most often specified by contractors and other consumers in a particular region of the US
• the roofing materials originally installed on the structure

The US has a significant number of businesses with roofs that are at or near the end of their life expectancies. Thus, age-related reroofing is the most significant driver of roofing demand in the US.

Additionally, multiple other variables can affect demand for commercial roofing in a particular year or over a short period of time. Among these are:

• weather conditions, especially outbreaks of severe weather that can cause widespread damage to roofs (e.g., hurricanes and tropical storms, tornadoes, hailstorms, and winter storms)
• changes and modifications to state and local building codes
• the adoption of legislation (such as the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017) that can cause a temporary increase in reroofing activity
• insurers requiring building owners to replace older or worn roofs with newer materials that better resist severe weather on condition of maintaining coverage
• changes in the price of raw materials (e.g., asphalt, metal, lumber) that can cause the cost of roofing materials per square to increase or decrease sharply

US Commercial Roofing Report Scope

This study analyzes US commercial roofing demand by product, market, application (new vs. reroofing), and US geographic region. Demand is also segmented by installation type (self-adhered membranes, mechanically attached) for thermoplastic and rubber membranes.

Demand is provided in area terms (squares) and is also provided in value terms (US dollars) at the US level. Historical data (2014, 2019, and 2024) and forecasts for 2029 and 2034 are presented for US roofing demand in squares and US dollars.

Roofing product demand is segmented by the following product types:

• thermoplastic roofing membranes
  • thermoplastic polyolefin (TPO)
  • polyvinyl chloride (PVC)
  • other plastic membranes (e.g., ethylene copolymers, chlorinated polyethylene, ethylene interpolymers, nitrile alloy, and tripolymer alloy)
• bituminous roofing (systems are segmented by modified bitumen and built up roofing (BUR))
  • polymer-modified bitumen membranes, e.g., atactic polypropylene (APP) and styrene-butadiene-styrene (SBS) and other membranes
  • standard roofing felts
• metal roofing
  • standing seam/concealed fastener
  • exposed fastener
  • shingles and tiles
• asphalt shingles
  • standard laminated
  • high-performance laminated
  • three-tab
• rubber roofing membranes
• small volume roofing products, such as:
  • liquid-applied roof coatings used as primary roofing
  • spray polyurethane foam (SPF)
  • vegetative/green roofing

Average product prices (at the manufacturers’ level) and installation costs are provided for major product types in dollars per square.

Excluded from the scope of the study are such related products as:

• roofing underlays
• flashings
• coatings used as repair and restorative compounds and not used as a structure’s primary roofing material
• roof-mount solar panels
• mopping asphalts, granules, and ballast used during the installation of bituminous roofs
• prefabricated roof trusses and other structural supports
• roof decking materials (e.g., plywood and other engineered wood materials, concrete, metal)

Demand for commercial roofing is analyzed by building type:

• office, retail, and lodging
• institutional
• industrial
• other commercial buildings (including data centers; civic centers; courthouses; government administrative and public safety facilities; post offices; agriculture facilities; and recreational facilities)