Report Overview
US demand for residential garage and commercial overhead doors is forecast to increase 1.1% per year to $4.6 billion in 2026, a significant deceleration from the 2016-2021 period. Market value growth will be restrained by a moderation in prices from high 2021 and 2022 levels that resulted from supply chain issues and price spikes for raw materials such as aluminum, steel, wood, and PVC.
Growth will primarily derive from healthy gains in unit terms, which will be supported by:
- solid gains in commercial building construction and renovation activity
- ongoing spending to update garage and overhead doors with newer models that offer improved performance and/or aesthetic advantages
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Homeowners Increasingly Seek Garage Doors with More Glass & Insulation
Garage door manufacturers are expanding their product offerings to include doors with more windows and window options, such as new designs and colors and larger glazed panels. Suppliers are responding to homeowners’ growing interest in garage doors that impart contemporary aesthetics while enhancing interior daylighting.
Other value-added features include enhanced durability, wind load resistance, and insulation. Many homeowners are upgrading to more energy-efficient insulated garage doors that can help lower utility bills. The growing trend of using garages as alternative exercise, storage, workshop, or office spaces has also boosted demand for doors that offer better temperature and sound insulation.
Growth Opportunities for Overhead Doors with Enhanced Durability & Fast Opening Speeds
Competitors in the commercial overhead door market are encouraging building owners to invest in doors that feature enhanced durability, security, and thermal insulation. Suppliers are also expanding overhead door style options, such as to include the aluminum-frame models with glass panels that see strong demand in eating and drinking establishments.
A small, but growing, segment of the overhead door market consists of industrial fabric and rubber doors that open and close at rapid speeds. The springless designs of these high-speed doors also reduce maintenance requirements and improve product lifespan.
This study analyzes US demand for garage and overhead doors by type (garage doors, overhead doors), material (metal, wood, vinyl and fiberglass), market (residential, commercial), application (new, replacement, and by major US region (Northeast, Midwest, South, West). Within each market, demand is presented by building type. Historical data (2011, 2016, and 2021) and forecasts for 2026 and 2031 are presented for garage and overhead door demand in current US dollars (including inflation) and in units.
Historical Market Trends
Sales of garage and overhead doors are impacted by general economic trends and the boom-and-bust nature of the US construction industry. Due to its cyclicality, spending on new building construction – and associated products – is typically more volatile than that in the replacement market.
Key factors impacting demand in the new construction market include:
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trends in single-family construction activity, particularly in the replacement market
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multifamily remodeling activity and the construction of new high-rises
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commercial building construction
Prospects in the renovation market are impacted by a number of factors, including:
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the current lending environment including interest rates and credit requirements
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home values, which impact homeowner ability to get home equity loans to fund improvement projects
- changing consumer preferences regarding style or material
Demand by Product
Product Outlook Demand for garage and overhead doors is expected to increase 1.1% per year to $4.6 billion in 2026, a significant deceleration from the 2016-2021 period when average prices soared due to supply constraints and inflation. Market value growth will be driven by increases in unit demand, which will be bolstered by:
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solid gains in commercial building construction and renovation activity
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ongoing spending to update garage and overhead doors with newer models that offer improved performance and/or aesthetic advantages
While garage doors account for the majority of demand, overhead doors are projected to grow at a faster rate due to an improvement in commercial building construction following declines during the pandemic.
Demand by Market
Demand Outlook Demand for garage and overhead doors is expected to increase 1.1% per year to $4.6 billion in 2026.
Residential garage doors will continue to account for the majority demand, a position supported by a number of factors including:
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a wide variety of aesthetic and value-added features available for garage doors that boost average costs and support replacement to update a home’s appearance, security, and/or energy efficiency
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the high costs of custom designed wood garage doors
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more frequent replacement of garage doors, which are typically less durable than commercial overhead types
Demand for commercial overhead doors will be supported by:
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healthy increases in construction spending for all commercial building types, especially in the large office, retail, and lodging and industrial markets
- ongoing efforts by commercial property owners to improve the security, appearance, and energy efficiency of their buildings to protect their assets, attract business, and reduce utility bills
